🌐 Global News & Events live 24h feed + historical archive 1999→now · via GDELT Project
⚠ The historical archive lives in a separate database (cuba_historical.db) and is a deep-lens for pattern analysis — it does NOT feed the live alert board, keeping recent intel primary.
📡 Live (24h)
3,470
Cuba articles, current feed
🗄 Historical archive
3,730,393
1999–2026 · browse ↓
📈 Peak year
2016
443,972 events ↓
⚔ Material conflict
375,072
QuadClass 4 · filter ↓
🔮 Forecast anomalies
3
flagged this run
🔮 Forecasts & anomaly watch 3 anomalyies
⚠ These are STATISTICAL ESTIMATES derived from the global-news archive (OLS extrapolation + z-score anomaly over a trailing window), NOT confirmed fact. Read trend + confidence together; an ANOMALY flag means the current value is a statistical outlier vs its own baseline — a prompt to investigate, not a verdict.
Diplomacy ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable MED ANOMALY z=-2.15
current -3.81 baseline -2.74
-5.07 mid -4.07 -3.07
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for DIPLOMACY (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -2.74, current -3.81 (z=-2.15, ANOMALY), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.07..-3.07 (mid -4.07). Confidence MED. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=117,180 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ▲ rising MED
current 12,418 baseline 9,765
17,054 mid 21,772 26,490
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month DIPLOMACY event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (117,180 events). Baseline 9765/mo, current month 12418 (z=+1.07), trend=rising. Estimate band 17054-26490 (mid 21772). Confidence MED from data density + series variance.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=117,180 · gdelt_events_historical
ENERGY
Avg tone ▬ stable LOW
current -6.06 baseline -4.80
-5.58 mid -3.79 -2.00
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for ENERGY (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -4.80, current -6.06 (z=-1.10), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.58..-2.00 (mid -3.79). Confidence LOW. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2024-09..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=207 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ◆ volatile LOW
current 11 baseline 17
1 mid 17 34
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month ENERGY event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (207 events). Baseline 17/mo, current month 11 (z=+0.22), trend=volatile. Estimate band 1-34 (mid 17). Confidence LOW from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.NAVAL field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2024-09..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=207 · gdelt_events_historical
China ties ↳ explore
Avg tone ▼ falling MED
current -3.86 baseline -1.53
-9.32 mid -7.29 -5.26
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for FOREIGN_CHINA (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -1.53, current -3.86 (z=-1.82), trend=falling. Estimate band -9.32..-5.26 (mid -7.29). Confidence MED. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=2,531 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ▬ stable MED
current 349 baseline 211
160 mid 282 404
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month FOREIGN_CHINA event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (2,531 events). Baseline 211/mo, current month 349 (z=+0.31), trend=stable. Estimate band 160-404 (mid 282). Confidence MED from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.FOREIGN_ADVISORS field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=2,531 · gdelt_events_historical
Iran ties ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable LOW
current -4.12 baseline -3.49
-7.87 mid -6.09 -4.32
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for FOREIGN_IRAN (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -3.49, current -4.12 (z=-0.76), trend=stable. Estimate band -7.87..-4.32 (mid -6.09). Confidence LOW. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,649 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ◆ volatile LOW
current 380 baseline 137
0 mid 137 311
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month FOREIGN_IRAN event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (1,649 events). Baseline 137/mo, current month 380 (z=+1.62), trend=volatile. Estimate band 0-311 (mid 137). Confidence LOW from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.FOREIGN_ADVISORS field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,649 · gdelt_events_historical
Russia ties ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable LOW
current -4.28 baseline -3.19
-6.40 mid -5.40 -4.40
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for FOREIGN_RUSSIA (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -3.19, current -4.28 (z=-1.62), trend=stable. Estimate band -6.40..-4.40 (mid -5.40). Confidence LOW. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=5,715 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ◆ volatile LOW
current 522 baseline 476
74 mid 476 879
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month FOREIGN_RUSSIA event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (5,715 events). Baseline 476/mo, current month 522 (z=+0.10), trend=volatile. Estimate band 74-879 (mid 476). Confidence LOW from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.FOREIGN_ADVISORS field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=5,715 · gdelt_events_historical
Migration ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable MED
current -4.95 baseline -5.46
-5.94 mid -4.80 -3.65
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for MIGRATION (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -5.46, current -4.95 (z=-0.19), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.94..-3.65 (mid -4.80). Confidence MED. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,242 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ▼ falling MED
current 62 baseline 104
0 mid 1 45
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month MIGRATION event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (1,242 events). Baseline 104/mo, current month 62 (z=-0.72), trend=falling. Estimate band 0-45 (mid 1). Confidence MED from data density + series variance.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,242 · gdelt_events_historical
Military conflict ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable MED
current -5.82 baseline -5.75
-5.66 mid -4.66 -3.66
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for MILITARY_CONFLICT (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -5.75, current -5.82 (z=-0.95), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.66..-3.66 (mid -4.66). Confidence MED. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=22,818 · gdelt_events_historical
Escalation prob. ▬ stable MED
current 1.00 baseline 1.00
0.95 mid 1.00 1.00
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived HEURISTIC escalation probability for MILITARY_CONFLICT (NOT a calibrated probability, NOT confirmed fact). Defined as the share of conflict-class (QuadClass 3/4) events within MILITARY_CONFLICT: baseline 100%, current 100%, trend=stable. Estimated next-month escalation share 1.00 (band 0.95-1.00). Confidence MED — clearly heuristic, derived from news-event signal only.
conflict_share_heuristic · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=22,818 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ▲ rising MED
current 2,410 baseline 1,902
2,770 mid 3,607 4,445
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month MILITARY_CONFLICT event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (22,818 events). Baseline 1902/mo, current month 2410 (z=+1.57), trend=rising. Estimate band 2770-4445 (mid 3607). Confidence MED from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.THREAT_PROBABILITY field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=22,818 · gdelt_events_historical
Protest ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable MED
current -6.49 baseline -6.34
-5.92 mid -4.92 -3.92
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for PROTEST (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -6.34, current -6.49 (z=-0.83), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.92..-3.92 (mid -4.92). Confidence MED. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,812 · gdelt_events_historical
Escalation prob. ▬ stable MED
current 1.00 baseline 1.00
0.95 mid 1.00 1.00
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived HEURISTIC escalation probability for PROTEST (NOT a calibrated probability, NOT confirmed fact). Defined as the share of conflict-class (QuadClass 3/4) events within PROTEST: baseline 100%, current 100%, trend=stable. Estimated next-month escalation share 1.00 (band 0.95-1.00). Confidence MED — clearly heuristic, derived from news-event signal only.
conflict_share_heuristic · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,812 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ◆ volatile LOW ANOMALY z=2.44
current 298 baseline 151
58 mid 151 244
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month PROTEST event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (1,812 events). Baseline 151/mo, current month 298 (z=+2.44, ANOMALY), trend=volatile. Estimate band 58-244 (mid 151). Confidence LOW from data density + series variance.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=1,812 · gdelt_events_historical
Repression ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable HIGH
current -5.99 baseline -6.41
-6.81 mid -5.81 -4.81
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for REPRESSION (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -6.41, current -5.99 (z=-0.40), trend=stable. Estimate band -6.81..-4.81 (mid -5.81). Confidence HIGH. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=8,793 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ▬ stable HIGH
current 777 baseline 733
789 mid 947 1,105
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month REPRESSION event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (8,793 events). Baseline 733/mo, current month 777 (z=+0.93), trend=stable. Estimate band 789-1105 (mid 947). Confidence HIGH from data density + series variance.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=8,793 · gdelt_events_historical
Sanctions pressure ↳ explore
Avg tone ▬ stable LOW
current -5.09 baseline -4.55
-5.21 mid -4.21 -3.21
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month average TONE for SANCTIONS_PRESSURE (GDELT -100..+100 scale) projected by OLS over the trailing 12 months. Baseline tone -4.55, current -5.09 (z=-1.66), trend=stable. Estimate band -5.21..-3.21 (mid -4.21). Confidence LOW. Tone is a sentiment proxy, not an event count — interpret directionally.
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=3,004 · gdelt_events_historical
Event volume ◆ volatile LOW ANOMALY z=2.56
current 495 baseline 250
69 mid 250 432
▸ rationale & method
GDELT-derived ESTIMATE (not confirmed fact). Next-month SANCTIONS_PRESSURE event volume projected via OLS linear extrapolation over the trailing 12-month window (3,004 events). Baseline 250/mo, current month 495 (z=+2.56, ANOMALY), trend=volatile. Estimate band 69-432 (mid 250). Confidence LOW from data density + series variance. Cross-ref: this GDELT estimate can backstop the low-intel mil_forecasts.THREAT_PROBABILITY field (not overwritten).
ols_linear_extrapolation+zscore_anomaly · 2025-05..2026-04 (12 mo), current=2026-05 · n=3,004 · gdelt_events_historical
📈 Cuba event-volume timeline · monthly CU events, last 24 mo · 1 anomaly month(s) >2σ
2024-10 baseline 8,632 · 2σ threshold 16,847 · red = anomaly · hatched = partial 2026-05
🔎 Historical explorer · filter the 1999→now archive
✕ Reset
🎯 Matches
253,579
events in archive
🗣 Avg tone
-0.39
across matches
📅 Years spanned
28
1999–2026
📈 Matches per year
1999 2,438
2000 3,294
2001 2,795
2002 2,155
2003 3,421
2004 3,179
2005 1,696
2006 2,721
2007 5,576
2008 6,181
2009 10,077
2010 7,187
2011 8,256
2012 8,498
2013 9,808
2014 13,894
2015 22,980
2016 24,684
2017 18,087
2018 12,646
2019 15,022
2020 9,036
2021 12,613
2022 7,995
2023 8,285
2024 9,203
2025 11,268
2026 10,584
👥 Top actors
CUBA63,938
CUBAN31,573
UNITED STATES19,119
HAVANA7,772
PRESIDENT3,957
GOVERNMENT3,683
THE US3,454
OBAMA3,257
VENEZUELA3,163
WASHINGTON3,146
📋 Top event-root codes
11206,005
1647,574
🧾 Event browser 253,579 matching events · page 1/5,072 Sort: Newest Oldest Tone ↑ Tone ↓ (worst) Most cited ⇩ CSV
Date Actors Root QC Tone Cites Geo Source
2026-05-19 US AMBASSADOR → CUBAN 11 3 ▼ -4.6 20 Libertad, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → REGIME 11 3 ▼ -4.6 16 Libertad, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → CUBA 11 3 ▼ -3.5 6 Sierra Maestra, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → REGIME 11 3 ▼ -4.6 4 Libertad, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 INTELLIGENCE → HAVANA 16 4 ▼ -7.5 2 Miami, Florida, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 INTELLIGENCE → CUBA 16 4 ▼ -7.5 2 Washington, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 INTELLIGENCE → HAVANA 16 4 ▼ -7.5 6 Washington, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -7.9 6 White House, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → MILITARY 11 3 ▼ -7.5 10 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -7.9 2 White House, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → GOVERNMENT 11 3 ▼ -7.5 2 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 SECRETARY OF STATE → CUBA 16 4 ▼ -8.2 2 Florida, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL → CUBAN 11 3 ▼ -8.2 1 Florida, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 IRAN → MEDIA 16 4 ▼ -1.1 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → TYRANT 16 4 ▼ -3.6 3 United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → TYRANT 16 4 ▼ -3.6 2 United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA 11 3 ▼ -1.9 2 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 MIAMI → REUTERS 11 3 ▼ -3.1 15 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 ADMINISTRATION → WASHINGTON 11 3 ▼ -3.1 15 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -6.4 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -6.4 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → AMERICAN 11 3 ▼ -6.4 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → POLICE FORCE 11 3 ▼ -7.7 2 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 AIRLINE → CUBA 16 4 ▼ -3.6 5 Santiago De Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 UNITED STATES → CUBAN 11 3 ▬ -0.9 4 United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL → WASHINGTON 11 3 ▼ -7.0 10 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL → HAVANA 11 3 ▼ -7.0 2 Washington, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL → CUBA 11 3 ▼ -7.0 2 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL → HAVANA 11 3 ▼ -7.6 7 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL 16 4 ▼ -7.0 4 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CRIMINAL 16 4 ▼ -7.0 6 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 PROTESTER → GOVERNMENT 11 3 ▼ -6.5 5 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 PROTESTER 11 3 ▼ -6.5 5 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 INTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION 16 4 ▼ -4.2 5 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBAN → CUBA 11 3 ▼ -6.5 2 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → CUBA 16 4 ▼ -4.3 6 Ottawa, Ontario, Canada ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → CANADA 16 4 ▼ -4.3 2 Ottawa, Ontario, Canada ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → CANADA 16 4 ▼ -4.3 2 Boca De Jaruco, Provincia de Mayabeque, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CANADA 11 3 ▼ -4.3 2 Boca De Jaruco, Provincia de Mayabeque, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 UNITED STATES → CUBA 11 3 ▼ -3.4 5 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 MEXICAN → MILITARY 11 3 ▼ -2.5 5 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 MEXICAN → MILITARY 11 3 ▼ -2.5 2 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 PROSECUTOR → CUBAN 11 3 ▼ -1.2 4 Florida, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 PROSECUTOR → CUBAN 11 3 ▼ -1.2 1 Miami, Florida, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 MINIST OF THE INTERIOR → BANK 16 4 ▼ -5.2 10 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 SECRETARY OF STATE 16 4 ▼ -7.5 6 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → CUBAN 16 4 ▼ -5.1 2 Washington, District of Columbia, United States ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -1.2 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → UNITED STATES 11 3 ▼ -1.2 1 Havana, Ciudad de La Habana, Cuba ↗ ↗ link
2026-05-19 CUBA → GOVERNMENT 11 3 ▼ -5.2 2 Cuba ↗ ↗ link
Page 1 / 5,072 Next →
🗄 Historical overview (all years)
🗓 Cuba events per year (1999→now) · volume + average tone
1999 43,904 5.9
2000 58,102 5.9
2001 43,292 6.2
2002 35,047 6.1
2003 43,237 6.3
2004 34,491 6.2
2005 20,685 5.9
2006 36,170 6.0
2007 61,326 5.5
2008 95,881 5.4
2009 179,375 5.3
2010 121,600 5.8
2011 134,632 6.0
2012 157,307 5.5
2013 174,467 2.5
2014 220,028 2.8
2015 430,114 -0.4
2016 443,972 -1.0
2017 238,582 -1.5
2018 175,411 -1.3
2019 165,238 -1.6
2020 108,237 -1.8
2021 128,990 -2.5
2022 99,181 -1.8
2023 127,890 -1.1
2024 121,047 -2.1
2025 124,820 -3.2
2026 107,367 -3.8
🎯 Conflict vs cooperation (all years)
Verbal cooperation 2,581,811 · 69.2%
Material cooperation 379,985 · 10.2%
Verbal conflict 393,525 · 10.5%
Material conflict 375,072 · 10.1%
📋 Top CAMEO event-root codes
041,265,721
01445,319
05394,559
03282,212
11206,005
02194,000
17176,024
08160,377
19109,233
0789,242
📡 Live feed — last 24h · the recent alert board, separate from the statistical archive
Seen Title Source Tone
2026-10-24 Lambassadeur cubain demande au Canada de réitérer son rejet de lembargo américain - La Nouvelle Union et LAvenir de l Érable lanouvelle.net · Canada —
2026-10-24 Lambassadeur cubain demande au Canada de réitérer son rejet de lembargo américain lechodemaskinonge.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 Lambassadeur cubain demande au Canada de réitérer son rejet de lembargo américain lavoixdusud.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 Lambassadeur cubain demande au Canada de réitérer son rejet de lembargo américain lecourriersud.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 [auto·en] Crisis eléctrica en Cuba : prolongan el horario de verano hasta noviembre de 2027 eluniversal.com.co · Colombia —
2026-10-24 Trump suggests U . S . warships do a little stopover in Cuba after Iran war fortune.com · United States —
2026-10-24 Marco Rubio Publicly Offers CIA Partnership To Cuban Citizens Frustrated By Failed Promises foreignpolicyjournal.com · Israel —
2026-10-24 Marco Rubio urges Cubans to work with CIA , but warns : be discreet thehindu.com · India —
2026-10-24 US midterms : At Florida rally , Trump vows action against Cuba after Iran war timesofindia.indiatimes.com · India —
2026-10-24 Economic Power of Cuba Military and GAESA : A Key Barrier to Democratic Transition , Study Finds cubaheadlines.com · Cuba —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade prpeak.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade wellandtribune.ca · Canada —
2026-10-24 [auto·en] Embajador de Cuba en Dominicana denuncia presiones de EEUU ante ONU prensa-latina.cu · Cuba —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade toronto.citynews.ca —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade chroniclejournal.com · United States —
2026-10-24 Cuba Politics Explained , Who Holds Power in 2026 riotimesonline.com · Brazil —
2026-10-24 Marco Rubio calls on Cuba to work with CIA as Trump warns hell deal with country after Iran lbc.co.uk · United Kingdom —
2026-10-24 Now Is The Time : Rubio Openly Urges Cuban Dissidents To Pursue Discreet Partnership With The CIA dailycaller.com · United States —
2026-10-24 Cuban envoy asks Canada to renew rejection of U . S . blockade theglobeandmail.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade airdriecityview.com · Canada —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade coastreporter.net · Canada —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade lethbridgeherald.com · United States —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade pentictonherald.ca · Canada —
2026-10-24 Marco Rubio îndeamnă cubanezii să colaboreze „ discret cu CIA , dacă doresc „ o schimbare pozitivă : „ Acum este momentul ziare.com · Romania —
2026-10-24 Cuban ambassadors ask Canada to renew its rejection of U . S . embargo and fuel blockade prpeak.com · Canada —
ℹ About this data — how to read it
Machine-coded global news events (GDELT 1.0 archive, 1999→present, ~3.7M Cuba-tagged rows) live in a separate archive (cuba_historical.db) and serve as a statistical lens — they deliberately do NOT feed the live alert board, which keeps recent confirmed intel primary. Read the forecasts as estimates: the cyan mid tick is the OLS projection, the band is the low–high range, and the red tick is the current value. Confidence (HIGH/MED/LOW) reflects data density and series variance; an ANOMALY flag (pulsing red dot) means the current value is a statistical outlier (|z| above threshold) versus its own baseline — investigate, do not assume. Tone runs roughly −10 (very negative coverage) to +10 (very positive). QuadClass: 1 verbal-coop, 2 material-coop, 3 verbal-conflict, 4 material-conflict.