⚡ Intelligence Events Log 11
Seizures · Designations · Policy Changes · Infrastructure
Mode C scheduled run 1618UTC — no browser connected, live AIS maps unreachable from sandbox. MGR fleet (CAMILO CIENFUEGOS, VILLA CLARA, ORIENTE, etc.) positions not live-verified this scan cycle. WebSearch fallback used for all maritime/air intelligence. Mode A available for interactive deep-dive. Source: scan methodology 2026-05-16 1620UTC
📎 Source: scan://mode-c-scheduled-2026-05-16-1620
📅 2026-05-15
UNKNOWN_CONTACT
🚢 Mode A live-AIS sweep 15-May 17:30 UTC
Cuba Traffic Intel — Mode A Chrome MCP
Mode A live-data scan-methodology entry. Live-sweep results: (1) Matanzas oil terminal harbour essentially idle — only 2 small dots at Dubrock area; (2) Santiago de Cuba harbour effectively dormant — 1 vessel visible; (3) Cienfuegos refinery/bay has commercial cluster of 4 anchored + 3 tugs/pilots; (4) Havana inner basin shows 3-5 commercial dots; (5) Mariel naval pier sparse (2 commercial dots); (6) Florida Straits commercial transit corridor normal volume; (7) No visible foreign warship in any of the three naval base zones; (8) No military-flagged aircraft over Cuba mainland at scan time (BLKCAT6 the sole active US ISR sortie, operating in Gulf of Mexico off Florida). MGR vessel public AIS feeds confirmed dark (VesselFinder MMSI 404). Live AIS + airport boards confirm the broader picture: Cuba commercial port traffic visibly suppressed; sanctioned-state air shuttles continuing.
📎 Source: https://www.marinetraffic.com/
Mode A enrichment. Live VesselFinder port-call history for UNIVERSAL (IMO 9384306) shows last port As Suways (Suez) Anchorage Egypt — ATD 2026-03-05 — with multiple Suez-area anchorage stops Feb 5-6/6-7/Mar 4. Cargo currently aboard most likely loaded via Gulf/Middle East transit through Suez, not direct from Baltic. New layer to shadow-fleet picture.
📎 Source: https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/details/9384306
Mode A correction. Live VesselFinder AIS shows SEA HORSE (IMO 9262584) UNDER WAY at 10.6 kn in West Mediterranean, draught 11.0 m fully loaded, ETA Valletta Malta 2026-05-16 11:00. Last port Port-Kamsar Guinea (ATD 2026-05-03). CONTRADICTS prior WebSearch note that placed it in Caribbean/Trinidad/Venezuela per March 2026 press. Note corrected. Lesson: Mode C WebSearch fallback cannot catch stale-press divergence.
📎 Source: https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/details/9262584
Scan methodology note (2026-05-15 14:13 UTC). Cuba Traffic Intel scan executed in Sandbox-only Mode C: no visual browser tool, no host `open` for live MarineTraffic/VesselFinder/FlightRadar24/ADS-B Exchange map sweeps. Sections 1A–1F live map analysis NOT possible; substituted by ~40 targeted WebSearches across all Section 2 topic groups, per-tracked-vessel/aircraft WebSearch fallback, and structured-format note updates. Human-in-loop required to confirm vessel-by-vessel AIS positions for ANATOLY KOLODKIN, UNIVERSAL, SEA HORSE, and to detect unknown contacts on Cuba's coastal approaches. Air-side gap: no direct FR24/ADS-B Exchange enumeration of HAV/VRA/SCU/HOG/CFG/CMW/SNU/MUSA boards this scan; per-aircraft notes drawn from press OSINT. Any subsequent scan with browser tools should reconcile against this baseline.
Sandbox Mode C scan @ 2026-05-12 03:06 UTC: Section 1A-1F live map sweeps (MarineTraffic, VesselFinder, FR24, ADS-B Exchange) not possible due to absence of visual browser tooling in this scheduled-task harness. Mitigation: WebSearch fallback across all sections (2A-2E) executed, structured notes refreshed for tracked OIL CRITICAL/HIGH (15) + MGR full registry (15) + foreign mil (5) + tracked aircraft (11). Human-in-loop verification recommended for: per-vessel AIS positions, unknown-contact identification on map sweeps, current air-traffic over Florida Straits and Cuba EEZ. No fabricated positions inserted — last_lat/last_lon preserved from prior fix where present.
📅 2026-05-12
UNKNOWN_CONTACT
🏢 Scan methodology note — Mode C sandbox fallback (no live map sweep)
Internal OSINT process
Scan methodology note (12-May 2026 ~02:30 UTC). Cuba Traffic Intel scan executed in Sandbox Mode C — live MarineTraffic/VesselFinder/FlightRadar24/ADS-B Exchange map sweeps (Sections 1A–1F) were NOT performed because the runtime lacks visual browser tools and the user is not present (scheduled-task run) to authorize computer-use access. Fallback floor: ~30+ targeted WebSearch queries across Sections 2A–2E covered tracked vessels (23 OIL), MGR military (15), tracked aircraft (11), and event-type sweeps. Notes were refreshed for every tracked entity with the explicit 'NO LIVE CHECK' / 'WebSearch fallback' caveat where no fresh OSINT signal surfaced. Human-in-the-loop required for vessel-by-vessel AIS confirmation and unknown-contact detection (Section 1E sweep).
📎 Source: https://docs.claude.com
Scan limitation note: Sections 1A-1E of the daily prompt (live MarineTraffic / VesselFinder zone sweeps, MGR MMSI direct lookups, port screenshots, crime traffic sweeps in Windward / Yucatan / Old Bahama channels) were NOT completed this scan. These sites block automated fetches; OSINT was conducted via web-search and FR24-indexed news only. Unknown-contact / go-fast / AIS-spoofing / stateless-vessel detections are NOT in this scan window — those require a human analyst opening the maps. Next scan should reopen those URLs in-browser.
📎 Source: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:-79.5/centery:21.4/zoom:7
UNCONFIRMED: Analyst Rubén Cortés (CubaHeadlines, 9-May) theorized that Iran may be smuggling weapons into Cuba via Venezuela. No public evidence of direct Iranian-to-Cuban military transfers — flagged here as speculation requiring corroboration. Treat as a watch item, not an assessment. Action: monitor Iranian-flag vessels and Mahan Air aircraft for Venezuela ↔ Cuba legs; check Cuban port arrivals for Iran-linked operators.
📎 Source: https://www.cubaheadlines.com/articles/328256
📅 2026-05-04
UNKNOWN_CONTACT
🏢 Influence operation — fake Russian-sub-arrival video
N/A (open-source disinformation)
Lead Stories debunked a viral X post (May-4-2026, account @MOSSADil) claiming a Russian nuclear-powered submarine had arrived in Havana. The footage actually dates to the Kazan port call in June 2024. No Russian warship or submarine has been verified at a Cuban port in May 2026. Logging as UNKNOWN_CONTACT influence-operation note so the dashboard captures the active disinformation vector running alongside the genuine US/Cuba pressure cycle — analysts should treat any uncorroborated 'Russian sub Havana' claim with high skepticism until AIS or independent imagery verifies arrival.
📎 Source: https://leadstories.com/hoax-alert/2026/05/fact-check-old-video-of-russian-submarine-arriving-in-havana-cuba-is-from-202
PETION (IMO 9295098) remains AIS-dark 53 days with loaded draught of 11.2 m at last ping — pattern consistent with covert cargo run or undeclared STS. Cuban state tanker already OFAC-sanctioned. Flag to sanctions-evasion working group for open-source imagery review.
📎 Source: https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/details/9295098